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By Jatin Desai
Pakistan’s results have fulfilled the aspirations of the people of Pakistan. President Musharraf’s politics was around three A’s i.e. America, Army and Allah and the Pakistani voters have rejected the three A’s. The drubbing of Musharraf backed Pakistan Muslim League (Quaid-e-Azam), popularly known as King’s party, was on expected lines.
Shaheed Benazir Bhutto’s Pakistan Peoples’ Party (PPP), as expected, came out as the single largest party. But, to form a Government has to depend on former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif led Pakistan Muslim League (N) and Afsandyar Vali Khan led Awami National Party (ANP). They have joined hands together and will soon form a new government.
PPP has won seats in all the four provinces namely Sindh, Punjab, North
West Frontier Province (NWFP) and Baluchistan. PML (N) did not win a
single National Assembly seat in Sindh and Baluchistan. The victory of
ANP is the most significant. NWFP is adjoining Afghanistan and the
boundary is irrelevant here. Like Afghanistan, NWFP’s majority
population is Pushtus. ANP has won 10 National Assembly seats from the
militancy affected NWFP defeating Mullahs party Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal
(MMA). ANP is a left party. Afsandyar Wali Khan is the grand son of
Khan Abdul Ghaffar Khan ‘Frontier Gandhi’. The result has also sent a
message to the world that Pushtus are peace loving people and they are
not with the militants.
In the year 2002 NWFP Provincial Assembly elections MMA, an alliance of
six religious parties, won the province and ruled the state till now.
Now, the new government will be led by ANP and supported by PPP and
other parties. The drubbing of MMA in the Province of Baluchistan is
also significant.
Musharraf supported US led War against Terror whole heartedly. The
defeat of King’s party is an indication that the Pakistanis do not want
to be a junior partner of US and its allies. The main issue in the
election was ‘Musharraf hatao’. This time there was no anti-India
rhetoric in the campaign. Musharraf had become extremely unpopular with
his domestic and international policies and he was aware of this fact.
The elections were by and large peaceful. People were apprehensive
about rigging. But, mainly due to alert media, aspirations of the
people, international observers and pressure from the International
community made these elections peaceful. Though there are allegations
of rigging from Karachi, a strong hold of Muttahida Quami Movement
(MQM), a party of Mohajirs. The party is led by Altaf Hussain from
London. MQM won most of the Karachi seats. PPP and MQM are always at
logger heads. MOM supported Musharraf regime and was a junior partner
in the government led by PML (Q).
Out of 272 National Assembly seats, elections were held in 269 and PPP
won 87, PML (N) 67, PML (Q) 40, MQM 19, ANP 10, MMA 6 (last time they
had 59). 60 seats are reserved for Women and 10 for minorities. In all
there are 342 seats.
The Lawyers and media played an important role in arousing the
democratic aspirations of the people. The lawyers were in the forefront
of the movement for the democracy since Musharraf regime dismissed
Iftikhar Chaudhary, Chief Justice of Pakistan on March 9, 2007. But, he
was reinstated on the order of Supreme Court on July 20, 2007. On
November 3, 2007, Musharraf imposed emergency, suspended the
constitution and removed the Chief Justice and seven other Judges. Mr.
Chaudahary became the rallying point for the people aspiring for the
democracy and independence of judiciary became the major issue.
Musharraf tried to control media through Pakistan Electronic Media
Regulatory Authority (PEMRA) and it boomeranged. Ultimately, Musharraf
had to succumb and withdraw the draconian changes. Pakistani media
always stood for the independence of media. They had fought the black
laws of Zia-ul-Haq’s draconian regime. They rallied around lawyers and
common people and their fight against the military regime.
Pakistan result has brought Asif Ali Zardari in the centre stage of the
Pakistan politics. During Benazir Bhutto’s regime he was known as Mr.
10%. Now, he is the co-Chairman of the Party. He is emphasizing on the
politics of reconciliation and not confrontation. Musharraf is also
saying that this s not the time of confrontation and everyone should
come together. PML (N) had made impeachment of Musharraf and
reinstatement of Iftikhar Chaudhary and other judges an election issue.
Now, these two are the major challenges before the forthcoming
government. Pressure from US and its allies is mounting especially on
PPP to not to have politics of confrontation with the Musharraf. In all
probability, there will be understanding and Musharraf will continue to
be President.
Reinstatement of judges is not easy. It will require constitutional
amendment and for that 2/3 majority is required. Again, no ruling
party, class will like to have person like Iftikhar Chaudhary as the
Chief justice.
As the corruption cases against Zardari are dropped there is a
possibility that in near future he may contest National Assembly
election from Larkana and prefer to become Prime Minister. Though, he
says that he will like to play Sonia Gandhi type role.
Everything is not smooth between PPP and PML (N). But, the people of
Pakistan want freedom and their pressure will compel them to continue.
This is a transition period and the scenario is fluid but the
aspirations of the people will lead them to a true democracy.
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