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FOCUS Researcher Wins Prix Du Jeune Auteur
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Our very own Aya Fabros received the PRIX DU JEUNE AUTEUR for her study on call center work. The Prix du Jeune Auteur is an annual award given by the French sociological journal, Sociologie du Travail, one of the leading academic journals on sociology of work, established by noted sociologists such as Alain Touraine and Jean-Daniel Reynaud. An article based on Aya’s thesis will be published in the journal’s next issue, while the full study will be tackled in her forthcoming book, Outsourced Selves.
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Initial Tremors: Investments, Exports, Remittances PDF Print E-mail
by Aya Fabros

Early effects of the global economic meltdown are beginning to show in key figures such as foreign investments, exports and OFW remittances. Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) fell by 69.2% in July 2008 compared to its level in the same month last year, as net FDI inflows from January to July also dropped by 60.2% compared to the same period last year. Foreign portfolio investments have similarly posted net outflows in 2008, a sharp contrast to levels of net inflows in billions last year. Exports, on the other hand, still registered growth, although there’s a decrease in registered monthly export earnings beginning in July. Remittances from overseas Filipino workers also posted a slight decline from previous months levels. The gradual downturn in these areas, according to officials, is a result of the global crisis, which has spilled over to the real economy, affecting demand for Philippine exports and investor sentiment. The impact of the US financial crisis is also evident in the decline in demand for exports and FDI share coming from the US.


Foreign Investments: FDI and Portfolio
 
Foreign Direct Investments in July 2008 stood at $ 147 Million, marking a 69.2% drop from $ 478 Million in July 2007. Net inflows from January to July 2008 also registered a 60.2% decline, with FDI for the 7-month period falling from $ 2.4 Billion in 2007 to $ 960 Million in 2008. This is a sharp contrast to figures in 2007, which showed a 138.9 % growth in FDI compared to the $ 1 Billion investment posted in 2006 for the same period (January-July).

Equity capital investment also fell by 59.1% (January-July 2008), from $1.7 Billion in 2007 to $ 716 Million in 2008. Gross equity placements, amounting to $ 904 Million from January to July 2008, were invested in manufacturing (shipbuilding and repair, auto electronic parts and components, paper products), services, mining, construction, and real estate, according to the Philippine Central Bank (BSP). Figures in 2008 also show a significant 97.9% increase in equity capital withdrawals, amounting to $ 188 Million for the 7-month period (January-July 2008).

The US, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Germany and Malaysia were identified as the top sources of foreign direct investment. From January-July 2008, foreign direct investment from the US amounted to $ 204.79 Million, a significant decline from $ 621.31 Million in the same period last year.

foreigndirectinv2

  Source: http://www.bsp.gov.ph/publications/tables/2008_10/news-10102008a1.htm

NET FDI

By Country of Origin

Cumulative

Jan-Jul 2006

Cumulative

Jan-Jul

2007

Cumulative

Jan-Jul

2008

TOTAL EQUITY

470

1749

716

JAPAN

39.81

828.97

106.92

US

167.07

621.31

204.79

Europe

51.86

17.83

4.48

(IN million US dollars)

 

 

 

Source: http://www.bsp.gov.ph/statistics/spei_new/tab22.htm

Foreign Portfolio investment trend is similarly starting to shift. From January to September 2008, foreign portfolio investments registered a net outflow of $ 521.7 Million a sharp turn from the same period last year, which posted net inflows of $ 3.4 Billion. Similarly, BSP September figures show a net outflow of $312 Million in September 2008, from net inflows of $ 187.5 Million in August and $ 20.2 Million in July. Registered foreign portfolio investments in September 2008 amounted to $ 517.3 Million, while portfolio investment withdrawals totaled $ 829.5 million. Of the $ 517.3 Million in foreign portfolio investment,  $ 348 Million went to listed shares, $ 167.8 to government securities, and $ 0.8 Million to peso bank deposits.

 

image004
Source: http://www.bsp.gov.ph/statistics/spei_new/tab22.htm

Exports
 
Philippine exports in August 2008 reached $4.388 Billion, growing 6.5 % compared to $4.121 Billion value in August 2007. Cumulative export earnings from January to August has also increased by 4.41% from $32.97 Billion in 2007 to $34.423 Billion in 2008. Compared to July 2008 levels, however, August 2008 export earnings fell by 1.1%, from $4.4 Billion in July 2008. Among the Top 10 Philippine exports, electronic products remain the top commodity, comprising 57.7 % of exports in August 2008. However, electronics exports fell by 2.8% compared to August 2008 value, which stood at $ 2.6 Billion in August 2007. Articles of Apparel and Clothing Accessories stood as the second main export commodity. The two top export products are considered ‘losers’ as of August 2008 tallies.

The decline in these export sectors is attributed to the global economic climate which resulted in falling demand of key trade partners. In August 2008, the top 3 export destinations continue to be Japan (16.1%), the US (14.9%) and China (11.5%). For one, August 2008 exports to the US dropped by 14.86%, from $ 766.7 Million in August 2007 to $ 652.77 Million in August 2008. Export totals to the US for 2008 also registered a slight decline. From January to August 2008, export earnings stood at $5.5 Billion, marking a .67% decreasing from cumulative exports (Jan-Aug) of $5.56 Billion in 2007.

EXPORTS in AUGUST 2008

 

August

(2008)

July

(2008)

August

(2007)

January-August

(2008)

January-

August

(2007)

TOTAL EXPORTS

 

 

 

 

 

FOB Value (In Million Dollars)

4387.61

4437.23

4121.45

34422.79

32970.1

Year-on-year Growth (Percent)

6.5

4.4

-3.6

4.41

 

Month-on-Month Growth (Percent)

-1.1

-1.7

-3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ELECTRONIC PRODUCTS

 

 

 

 

 

FOB Value (In Million Dollars)

2530.9

2559.55

2603.19

 

 

Year-on-year Growth (Percent)

-2.8

2.6

-3.6

 

 

Month-on-Month Growth (Percent

-1.1

-2.7

4.4

 

 

Census: www.census.gov.ph

TOP 10 Philippine Exports for All Countries in August 2008

GAINERS

(Year-on-Year Growth in Percent)

LOSERS

(Year-on-Year Growth in Percent)

TUNA

125.3

Articles of Apparel and Clothing Accessories

-21

Petroleum Products

100.5

Coconut Oil

-20.4

Cathodes and Sections of Cathodes of Refined Copper

91.1

Ignition Wiring Set and Other Wiring Sets Used in Vehicles, Aircrafts and Ships

-3.8

Metal Components

45

Electronic Products

-2.8

Woodcrafts and Furniture

31.3

 

 

Other Products Manufactured from Materials Exported on Consignment Basis

3.3

 

 

Source: www.census.gov.ph

OFW Remittances

Remittances in August 2008 amounted to $ 1.3 Billion, dropping slightly by 2.54% compared to the $1.36 Billion remittance level registered in July 2008. The monthly level has been falling slightly since July. The 8-month total is now at $ 10.9 Billion, with remittances for January-August 2008 growing by 17.2% compared its level of $ 9.33 Billion in the same period last year. According to the Philippine Overseas Employment Administration (POEA), the number of OFW deployed from January to August has increased by 26.4% compared to the same period last year: From 699,937 in 2007 to 884,907 in 2008 (January-August).

image006

OFW Remittances (In Thousand Dollars)

 

2008

2007

2008

month-on-month growth

2008

year-on-year

Cumulative totals growth

January

1264036

1099354

-9.52

 

February

1258638

1085544

-0.43

15.46

March

1427807

1304847

13.44

13.2

April

1410210

1191540

-1.23

14.51

May

1429832

1237140

1.39

14.74

June

1450838

1115753

1.47

17.16

July

1366796

1096558

-5.79

18.17

August

1332023

1206942

-2.54

17.16

September

 

1139845

 

 

October

 

1388459

 

 

November

 

1186970

 

 

December

 

1396976

 

 

Cumulative Jan-August

10940180

9337678

 

 

 

 

 
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